Betting Lines
| Spread | BUF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | BUF -270 CMU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | BUF -8.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUF -6.7 (-11.7) | 149.2 (-4.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUF -6.2 (-11.2) | 149.1 (-4.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUF -6.2 (-11.2) | 148.5 (-3.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUF -5.9 (-10.9) | 149.3 (-4.3) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2025 | CMU 73 – 69 BUF |
| Jan 29, 2025 | BUF 75 – 69 CMU |
| Jan 3, 2024 | BUF 76 – 64 CMU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | BUF 63 – 35 CMU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | CMU 87 – 78 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUF | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#193) | -6.7 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#168) | -1.43 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#164) | -1.54 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#168) | 0.438 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUF | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.