Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -192 FAMU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +7 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -6.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -3.7 (-10.7) | 136.3 (-11.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -4.0 (-11.0) | 135.8 (-10.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -4.0 (-11.0) | 138.1 (-13.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -3.8 (-10.8) | 137.2 (-12.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | FAMU 91 – 84 GRAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FAMU 73 – 68 GRAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | GRAM 79 – 72 FAMU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 68 FAMU |
| Jan 16, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 52 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#300) | -12.5 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#297) | -1.44 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#294) | -1.74 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#313) | 0.439 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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