Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -380 FAMU +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -10.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -5.0 (+2.0) | 135.8 (+15.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -5.7 (+1.3) | 136.5 (+14.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -4.7 (+2.3) | 133.9 (+17.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -5.6 (+1.4) | 134.5 (+16.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 59 GRAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | FAMU 91 – 84 GRAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FAMU 73 – 68 GRAM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 68 FAMU |
| Jan 16, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 52 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#310) | -15.1 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.12 (#363) | -1.93 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.58 (#363) | -2.67 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.359 (#356) | 0.425 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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