Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU -150 GRAM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -2.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -2.5 (+2.5) | 133.0 (+8.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -2.2 (+2.8) | 133.7 (+7.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -2.8 (+2.2) | 133.1 (+7.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -1.9 (+3.1) | 132.1 (+8.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 59 GRAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | FAMU 91 – 84 GRAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | GRAM 79 – 72 FAMU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 68 FAMU |
| Jan 16, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 52 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#330) | -10.1 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#294) | -2.60 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#297) | -3.15 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#255) | 0.409 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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