Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU +110 GRAM -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +7 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -3.7 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+33.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -3.1 (+10.1) | 140.5 (+34.5) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -2.2 (+9.2) | 138.8 (+36.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -3.0 (+10.0) | 139.9 (+35.1) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -3.1 (+10.1) | 141.2 (+33.8) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 59 GRAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FAMU 73 – 68 GRAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | GRAM 79 – 72 FAMU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 68 FAMU |
| Jan 16, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 52 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#334) | -5.3 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#312) | -0.48 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#311) | -0.88 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#301) | 0.476 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 34.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.4% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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