Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -500 FAMU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -8.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -6.5 (+0.5) | 132.2 (+10.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -8.3 (-1.3) | 130.6 (+12.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -6.3 (+0.7) | 131.4 (+11.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -6.4 (+0.6) | 132.0 (+11.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 59 GRAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | FAMU 91 – 84 GRAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FAMU 73 – 68 GRAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | GRAM 79 – 72 FAMU |
| Jan 16, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 52 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#308) | -13.3 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#225) | -2.13 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#238) | -2.65 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#182) | 0.418 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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