Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +115 GRAM -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +13 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | FAMU -2.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -1.3 (-14.3) | 133.1 (-16.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -0.3 (-12.7) | 132.4 (-15.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -0.3 (-13.3) | 134.6 (-17.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -0.9 (-13.9) | 133.8 (-16.8) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 59 GRAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | FAMU 91 – 84 GRAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FAMU 73 – 68 GRAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | GRAM 79 – 72 FAMU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 68 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-23 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-4 |
| Home | 4-8 | 9-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#337) | -11.1 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#298) | -1.84 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#308) | -1.89 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#210) | 0.439 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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