Betting Lines
| Spread | VAL -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +195 VAL -238 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | VAL -6.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAL -6.2 (+7.2) | 140.1 (+18.9) | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAL -5.8 (+6.8) | 139.0 (+20.0) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAL -6.5 (+7.5) | 138.0 (+21.0) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VAL -6.3 (+7.3) | 139.1 (+19.9) | 23% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | VAL 70 – 63 EVAN |
| Feb 17, 2025 | EVAN 79 – 69 VAL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | EVAN 78 – 68 VAL |
| Feb 3, 2024 | EVAN 63 – 62 VAL |
| Jan 18, 2024 | EVAN 78 – 75 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 13-4 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#299) | 0.5 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#318) | 0.22 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#306) | 0.23 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#307) | 0.492 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.