Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +136 TCU -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -2.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -4.2 (-4.8) | 153.8 (-8.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -2.7 (-6.3) | 151.8 (-6.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -2.2 (-6.8) | 151.1 (-6.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -2.3 (-6.7) | 151.8 (-6.8) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TCU 84 – 82 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TCU 63 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TCU 75 – 72 KSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TCU 80 – 67 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2023 | KSU 82 – 61 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-8 | 14-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#94) | 11.7 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#96) | 2.27 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#93) | 3.01 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#173) | 0.554 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.