Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | TCU -575 KSU +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +2 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -7.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -7.2 (-5.2) | 156.9 (+9.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -7.4 (-5.4) | 154.3 (+11.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -7.3 (-5.3) | 150.2 (+15.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -6.4 (-4.4) | 152.1 (+13.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TCU 77 – 68 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TCU 63 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TCU 75 – 72 KSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TCU 80 – 67 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2023 | KSU 82 – 61 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-5 | 10-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#49) | 7.0 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#61) | 1.15 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#55) | 1.36 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#99) | 0.528 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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