Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -111 TCU -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -1.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -1.0 (-2.0) | 146.0 (+1.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -0.4 (-2.6) | 145.5 (+1.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -1.3 (-1.7) | 145.1 (+1.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -1.1 (-1.9) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TCU 77 – 68 KSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | TCU 84 – 82 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TCU 63 – 62 KSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TCU 80 – 67 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2023 | KSU 82 – 61 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#72) | 13.4 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#71) | 2.01 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#75) | 2.35 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#83) | 0.560 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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