Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -165 KSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -9.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -5.4 (-4.4) | 143.9 (-18.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -5.4 (-4.4) | 144.6 (-19.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -6.2 (-5.2) | 142.1 (-17.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -6.6 (-5.6) | 144.3 (-19.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TCU 77 – 68 KSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | TCU 84 – 82 KSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TCU 75 – 72 KSU |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TCU 80 – 67 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2023 | KSU 82 – 61 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#61) | 4.4 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#124) | 1.03 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#113) | 1.50 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#132) | 0.557 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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