Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | COLU -230 BRWN +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -9.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -8.7 (+9.3) | 139.3 (+2.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -6.3 (+11.7) | 137.5 (+4.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -7.3 (+10.7) | 139.0 (+3.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -6.8 (+11.2) | 138.4 (+3.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | BRWN 86 – 80 COLU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BRWN 86 – 61 COLU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLU 74 – 72 BRWN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 66 – 64 COLU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | COLU 83 – 69 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 3-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#172) | -6.7 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#194) | -1.64 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#205) | -2.06 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#142) | 0.423 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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