Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN -225 COLU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +14 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -1.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -0.1 (-14.1) | 143.7 (+8.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -2.3 (-16.3) | 142.0 (+10.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -0.9 (-14.9) | 143.1 (+8.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -0.2 (-14.2) | 142.6 (+9.4) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COLU 80 – 62 BRWN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BRWN 86 – 80 COLU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BRWN 86 – 61 COLU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLU 74 – 72 BRWN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 66 – 64 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-10 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#250) | -2.5 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#294) | -0.32 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#285) | -0.41 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#288) | 0.488 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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