Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN -225 COLU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +25 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | BRWN -4.8 (+20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -5.3 (+19.7) | 149.7 (-2.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -3.7 (+21.3) | 147.2 (-0.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -5.0 (+20.0) | 148.8 (-1.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -4.8 (+20.2) | 149.9 (-2.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COLU 80 – 62 BRWN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BRWN 86 – 80 COLU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLU 74 – 72 BRWN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 66 – 64 COLU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | COLU 83 – 69 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 1-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#223) | -5.2 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#203) | -0.81 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#204) | -1.26 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#183) | 0.452 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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