Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | COLU -145 BRWN +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -3.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -3.0 (-1.0) | 152.2 (-6.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -2.0 (-0.0) | 151.6 (-5.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -2.0 (-0.0) | 151.0 (-5.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -2.2 (-0.2) | 151.2 (-5.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COLU 80 – 62 BRWN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BRWN 86 – 80 COLU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BRWN 86 – 61 COLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 66 – 64 COLU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | COLU 83 – 69 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#228) | -4.3 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#237) | -0.41 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#248) | -0.71 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#258) | 0.492 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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