Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | COLU -175 BRWN +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -5.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -5.2 (-7.2) | 141.6 (-11.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -2.5 (-4.5) | 139.6 (-9.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -5.6 (-7.6) | 140.6 (-10.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -5.3 (-7.3) | 140.3 (-10.3) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COLU 80 – 62 BRWN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BRWN 86 – 80 COLU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BRWN 86 – 61 COLU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLU 74 – 72 BRWN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | COLU 83 – 69 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#202) | -4.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#204) | -1.26 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#200) | -1.30 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#206) | 0.447 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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