Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -500 UTEP +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +32 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -10.0 (+22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -10.3 (+21.7) | 143.8 (+18.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -8.3 (+23.7) | 143.2 (+18.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -10.9 (+21.1) | 140.4 (+21.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -10.3 (+21.7) | 142.5 (+19.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | WKU 68 – 56 UTEP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WKU 80 – 73 UTEP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | WKU 78 – 74 UTEP |
| Mar 17, 2024 | WKU 78 – 71 UTEP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WKU 90 – 80 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#139) | -5.4 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#137) | -1.17 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#136) | -1.32 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#118) | 0.460 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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