Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP +145 WKU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +12 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -3.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -2.0 (-10.0) | 143.6 (-19.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.8 (-9.2) | 142.6 (-18.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -2.3 (-9.7) | 143.5 (-19.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -2.7 (-9.3) | 146.4 (-22.4) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WKU 97 – 65 UTEP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WKU 80 – 73 UTEP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | WKU 78 – 74 UTEP |
| Mar 17, 2024 | WKU 78 – 71 UTEP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WKU 90 – 80 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#253) | 1.1 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#294) | 0.30 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#263) | 0.31 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#289) | 0.516 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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