Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -125 UTEP +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -3.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -2.7 (+1.3) | 145.6 (+6.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -3.0 (+1.0) | 146.8 (+5.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.6 (+1.4) | 143.4 (+8.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -2.4 (+1.6) | 143.9 (+8.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WKU 97 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WKU 68 – 56 UTEP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WKU 80 – 73 UTEP |
| Mar 17, 2024 | WKU 78 – 71 UTEP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WKU 90 – 80 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#141) | 0.9 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#124) | 1.04 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#146) | 0.62 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#116) | 0.548 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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