Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -260 WKU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -3.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -3.3 (-10.3) | 148.8 (+4.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -2.6 (-9.6) | 147.8 (+5.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -2.9 (-9.9) | 145.2 (+7.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -2.7 (-9.7) | 145.6 (+7.4) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WKU 97 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WKU 68 – 56 UTEP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | WKU 78 – 74 UTEP |
| Mar 17, 2024 | WKU 78 – 71 UTEP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WKU 90 – 80 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#144) | 1.1 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#112) | 0.43 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#141) | 0.25 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#107) | 0.527 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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