Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -150 UTEP +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -3.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -2.2 (+4.8) | 145.8 (+3.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -2.5 (+4.5) | 146.4 (+2.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.1 (+4.9) | 144.1 (+4.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -1.9 (+5.1) | 144.6 (+4.4) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WKU 97 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WKU 68 – 56 UTEP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WKU 80 – 73 UTEP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | WKU 78 – 74 UTEP |
| Feb 16, 2024 | WKU 90 – 80 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#135) | -1.1 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#147) | -0.18 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#137) | -0.13 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#139) | 0.489 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 26.1% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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