Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | CONN -1100 HALL +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -13.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -14.9 (-10.9) | 135.9 (+2.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -12.6 (-8.6) | 133.9 (+4.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -13.0 (-9.0) | 131.5 (+6.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -12.7 (-8.7) | 133.1 (+4.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
| Dec 21, 2023 | HALL 75 – 60 CONN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 21.0 (#11) | 10.2 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.31 (#4) | 1.82 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.30 (#4) | 2.40 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#4) | 0.564 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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