Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CONN -2000 HALL +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +30 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -14.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -15.5 (+14.5) | 143.7 (+8.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -13.4 (+16.6) | 143.4 (+8.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -14.1 (+15.9) | 144.1 (+7.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -14.0 (+16.0) | 144.7 (+7.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Dec 21, 2023 | HALL 75 – 60 CONN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 13-7 |
| Home | 17-0 | 17-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 12-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W13 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 20.3 (#5) | 9.3 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.49 (#3) | 1.65 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.15 (#3) | 2.09 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#10) | 0.554 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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