Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | HALL +1000 CONN -2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -14.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -11.6 (+12.6) | 131.2 (+5.8) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -13.1 (+14.1) | 130.5 (+6.5) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -14.1 (+15.1) | 131.8 (+5.2) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -14.3 (+15.3) | 130.8 (+6.2) | 16% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
| Dec 21, 2023 | HALL 75 – 60 CONN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 14-6 |
| Home | 5-11 | 14-2 |
| Away | 0-11 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#212) | 15.0 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#269) | 2.19 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#250) | 3.08 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#293) | 0.570 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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