Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | HALL +250 CONN -310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | CONN -5.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -2.7 (-2.3) | 131.1 (+1.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -3.2 (-1.8) | 130.0 (+3.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -4.6 (-0.4) | 129.6 (+3.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -3.3 (-1.7) | 128.3 (+4.7) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
| Dec 21, 2023 | HALL 75 – 60 CONN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 34-6 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 12-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 10-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#48) | 20.8 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#28) | 5.03 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.78 (#27) | 6.91 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#26) | 0.670 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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