Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | HALL +300 CONN -385 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -8.3 (+23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -5.3 (+20.3) | 143.0 (-8.0) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -6.6 (+21.6) | 145.2 (-10.2) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -6.0 (+21.0) | 145.7 (-10.7) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -6.2 (+21.2) | 143.9 (-8.9) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 37-3 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 18-2 |
| Home | 17-4 | 17-0 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 12-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W5 | W13 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 63.4 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#92) | 18.2 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#134) | 3.66 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#131) | 5.17 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#117) | 0.650 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 51.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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