Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | CONN -2500 HALL +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +31 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -19.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -17.8 (+13.2) | 136.0 (-5.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -15.7 (+15.3) | 133.4 (-2.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -17.2 (+13.8) | 135.1 (-4.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -17.6 (+13.4) | 135.9 (-4.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
| Dec 21, 2023 | HALL 75 – 60 CONN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-2 | 5-11 |
| Away | 7-4 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#31) | -1.7 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#43) | -0.93 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.16 (#32) | -1.07 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#66) | 0.431 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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