See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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91–44 on winners spread MAE 9.5 135 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Rider @ Fairfield +9.0 139.6 84% 62–68 ✓
Cleveland State @ Oakland +11.6 161.9 88% 74–97 ✓
Wright State @ Detroit Mercy -5.1 145.5 35% 84–82 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +8.6 156.1 82% 59–75 ✓
Merrimack @ Siena +5.2 133.7 69% 63–59 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Mount St. Mary's -1.2 137.6 39% 65–70 ✗
Niagara @ Iona +11.2 141.4 87% 53–71 ✓
Marist @ Sacred Heart -6.8 134.6 25% 76–72 ✓
Canisius @ Manhattan +4.6 140.4 74% 70–64 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee +1.4 147.9 61% 85–67 ✗
Akron @ Bowling Green -1.2 160.3 47% 77–67 ✓
USC @ Minnesota +1.6 144.2 65% 70–69 ✗
UNLV @ Colorado State +10.7 145.9 83% 62–70 ✓
Nebraska @ Indiana +4.1 144.8 67% 83–77 ✗
Boston College @ Louisville +21.0 146.0 90% 62–75 ✓
Tennessee @ Florida +3.4 145.0 58% 67–91 ✓
Kansas @ West Virginia -1.2 136.4 53% 75–86 ✗
VCU @ George Mason +0.9 144.7 55% 80–86 ✓
Fordham @ St. Bonaventure +8.2 132.0 80% 81–77 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Miami +12.1 150.6 87% 81–91 ✓
NC State @ Florida State -4.1 154.7 40% 113–69 ✓
DePaul @ UConn +17.2 137.7 89% 60–72 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan +18.9 166.0 89% 91–88 ✗
Houston @ Baylor +1.1 141.9 45% 77–55 ✗
LSU @ Vanderbilt +10.8 159.2 85% 73–84 ✓
Evansville @ Indiana State +4.9 141.7 72% 72–69 ✗
Army @ Boston University +5.3 146.1 63% 91–100 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan -1.6 142.8 43% 62–79 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Wagner +2.4 132.4 62% 70–69 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Le Moyne -0.5 145.2 45% 69–59 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ New Haven +3.9 130.2 58% 55–65 ✓
New Hampshire @ UMBC +6.8 140.0 77% 74–75 ✓
Western Carolina @ The Citadel -5.5 145.5 33% 77–79 ✗
Troy @ Louisiana -9.1 139.0 19% 90–70 ✓
App State @ Coastal Carolina -1.1 137.9 41% 62–67 ✗
Penn State @ Purdue +17.2 146.1 90% 85–93 ✓
SMU @ Duke +11.9 158.6 85% 75–82 ✓
Georgia @ South Carolina -3.7 161.2 33% 75–70 ✓
Dartmouth @ Cornell +5.4 160.8 76% 102–91 ✗
Lehigh @ Colgate +8.8 143.6 83% 78–77 ✗
Rhode Island @ Davidson +3.2 132.8 63% 70–45 ✗
Winthrop @ South Carolina Upstate -4.1 151.2 35% 71–50 ✓
High Point @ Charleston Southern -8.0 159.0 20% 84–82 ✓
St. John's @ Creighton +2.0 149.2 58% 90–73 ✗
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh +2.6 136.6 64% 83–72 ✗
Lafayette @ Navy +10.0 140.1 85% 50–76 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota +2.0 164.3 72% 72–82 ✓
North Dakota State @ Omaha -6.8 148.2 25% 78–76 ✓
Yale @ Princeton -10.7 138.3 17% 60–76 ✗
Buffalo @ Ohio +2.6 149.3 66% 80–91 ✓
Harvard @ Columbia +7.9 141.6 81% 79–54 ✗
Brown @ Pennsylvania +4.2 139.9 68% 73–81 ✓
Chicago State @ Stonehill +3.3 130.8 64% 82–85 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Binghamton -6.7 142.1 30% 73–68 ✓
Maine @ NJIT +1.6 129.0 42% 74–70 ✗
Bryant @ UAlbany +2.1 135.4 58% 46–71 ✓
William & Mary @ Drexel -3.6 142.9 32% 58–64 ✗
Towson @ Northeastern -0.9 134.6 40% 87–78 ✓
Monmouth @ Hofstra +9.6 140.2 85% 64–67 ✓
Wofford @ Mercer +5.5 151.5 73% 97–109 ✓
VMI @ Furman +14.5 147.7 87% 48–69 ✓
Georgia Southern @ South Alabama +3.0 151.6 67% 71–87 ✓
Queens University @ North Florida -7.2 163.5 35% 89–82 ✓
North Alabama @ Bellarmine +2.5 146.0 58% 82–73 ✗
Austin Peay @ Stetson -10.3 144.8 16% 81–69 ✓
Stanford @ Virginia +9.0 145.2 82% 55–70 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Radford +2.7 146.7 69% 91–72 ✗
Villanova @ Marquette -7.0 140.0 32% 76–73 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ George Washington +14.1 149.5 89% 66–101 ✓
South Florida @ Tulsa +5.4 162.5 71% 93–78 ✗
Kansas State @ Arizona State +1.2 164.5 61% 84–87 ✓
Presbyterian @ Longwood +2.4 132.9 60% 70–77 ✓
New Mexico @ Air Force -15.6 134.6 11% 91–49 ✓
Kent State @ Central Michigan -9.8 153.8 19% 85–87 ✗
UL Monroe @ Southern Miss +12.8 155.6 87% 60–70 ✓
Texas State @ Arkansas State +13.0 148.2 87% 82–83 ✓
West Georgia @ Jacksonville +0.8 139.9 55% 43–75 ✓
Abilene Christian @ UT Arlington +4.9 128.2 65% 72–82 ✓
Delaware @ Louisiana Tech +3.9 127.5 67% 68–70 ✓
Ball State @ Massachusetts +10.7 140.5 81% 71–79 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas A&M +5.9 159.1 68% 76–83 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State -3.9 142.2 37% 69–71 ✗
Liberty @ Sam Houston +1.9 150.1 62% 82–74 ✗
Arizona @ TCU -5.2 149.7 28% 86–73 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State +15.8 157.5 89% 71–83 ✓
Valparaiso @ Murray State +10.8 150.9 86% 79–92 ✓
Saint Louis @ La Salle -14.5 150.7 14% 84–72 ✓
Jackson State @ Alabama State +10.3 149.6 87% 75–64 ✗
Holy Cross @ American University +7.9 134.4 80% 84–73 ✗
Providence @ Xavier +0.9 163.1 59% 84–97 ✓
California @ Virginia Tech +3.6 150.6 74% 75–78 ✓
Saint Francis @ Long Island University +14.2 149.1 90% 63–67 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ East Tennessee State +12.0 146.0 87% 60–86 ✓
Old Dominion @ James Madison +5.8 147.0 75% 69–70 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia State -6.9 144.9 26% 73–81 ✗
Lipscomb @ Florida Gulf Coast +0.8 155.4 54% 84–77 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Eastern Kentucky +2.7 151.7 68% 75–79 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +13.2 147.2 88% 76–92 ✓
Western Kentucky @ UTEP -2.0 143.6 37% 68–56 ✓
Norfolk State @ Delaware State -7.0 130.7 21% 66–64 ✓
Howard @ Maryland Eastern Shore -2.2 129.8 37% 57–69 ✗
Samford @ Chattanooga +0.9 142.6 55% 79–88 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Northwestern State -5.3 134.8 36% 78–79 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Western Illinois -3.6 139.3 30% 59–54 ✓
Little Rock @ Lindenwood +8.1 141.3 79% 82–74 ✗
Tennessee State @ Eastern Illinois -4.0 139.7 32% 70–74 ✗
South Carolina State @ Morgan State +1.0 136.5 62% 67–72 ✓
UIC @ Illinois State +11.6 139.6 86% 63–59 ✗
Washington State @ Saint Mary's +14.2 136.4 88% 82–88 ✓
Tulane @ UTSA -4.8 140.7 32% 85–52 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Coppin State -4.6 138.2 29% 88–77 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Bucknell +4.6 138.7 62% 67–70 ✓
Hampton @ Charleston +7.7 138.8 82% 70–74 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal Poly +0.9 157.6 60% 78–84 ✓
SE Louisiana @ McNeese +16.8 134.9 88% 61–73 ✓
Sacramento State @ Portland State +10.3 152.4 86% 69–96 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho +1.5 141.6 53% 89–92 ✓
Montana @ Eastern Washington -0.4 157.1 55% 65–66 ✗
Florida International @ Missouri State +2.5 146.9 72% 71–79 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State +5.4 144.5 68% 82–88 ✓
Alcorn State @ Alabama A&M +9.9 142.3 86% 64–62 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Southern +0.8 154.5 60% 74–66 ✗
Grambling @ Bethune-Cookman -0.8 143.7 49% 65–74 ✗
Arkansas @ Auburn +1.5 168.1 58% 73–95 ✓
Wake Forest @ North Carolina +9.9 151.9 82% 84–87 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley +1.9 133.1 59% 69–75 ✓
Belmont @ Drake -3.9 142.4 35% 78–76 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Prairie View A&M +15.6 154.2 89% 69–70 ✓
Clemson @ Notre Dame -0.6 131.4 48% 76–61 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Stony Brook -6.8 130.3 23% 75–71 ✓
Houston Christian @ Stephen F. Austin +13.4 134.5 85% 67–85 ✓
Nicholls @ New Orleans -0.0 149.7 51% 90–77 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ East Texas A&M -4.7 143.7 31% 69–77 ✗
Missouri @ Ole Miss +2.5 141.1 58% 69–76 ✓
Seton Hall @ Georgetown -2.4 136.1 46% 76–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.