Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | LIN -278 LR +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +8 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -11.6 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -8.1 (-16.1) | 141.3 (+14.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -8.9 (-16.9) | 141.7 (+14.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -9.0 (-17.0) | 143.0 (+13.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -9.0 (-17.0) | 142.4 (+13.6) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIN 72 – 62 LR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | LIN 79 – 74 LR |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIN 93 – 92 LR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LR 78 – 46 LIN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | LR 82 – 73 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#224) | -11.2 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#204) | -1.45 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#202) | -2.08 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#206) | 0.417 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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