Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LIN +120 LR -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +32 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -2.7 (-29.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -3.1 (-28.9) | 134.7 (-10.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -3.7 (-28.3) | 132.5 (-8.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -3.7 (-28.3) | 132.4 (-8.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -3.2 (-28.8) | 136.3 (-12.3) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIN 72 – 62 LR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | LIN 79 – 74 LR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LR 82 – 74 LIN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIN 93 – 92 LR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | LR 82 – 73 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#319) | -3.7 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#315) | -0.04 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#329) | -0.47 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#310) | 0.501 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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