Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LR -550 LIN +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +1 | 185 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -11.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+55.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -10.3 (-11.3) | 135.0 (+50.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -9.7 (-10.7) | 134.2 (+50.8) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -9.1 (-10.1) | 131.3 (+53.7) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LR -9.7 (-10.7) | 132.6 (+52.4) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIN 72 – 62 LR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | LIN 79 – 74 LR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LR 82 – 74 LIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LR 78 – 46 LIN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | LR 82 – 73 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#213) | -10.7 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#206) | -1.46 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#213) | -2.40 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#202) | 0.444 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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