Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +550 LR -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -9.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -9.1 (+0.1) | 144.2 (+10.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -8.8 (-0.2) | 145.3 (+9.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -9.1 (+0.1) | 143.0 (+12.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -8.7 (-0.3) | 144.6 (+10.4) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIN 72 – 62 LR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | LIN 79 – 74 LR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LR 82 – 74 LIN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIN 93 – 92 LR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LR 78 – 46 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 14-4 |
| Home | 4-10 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -16.3 (#358) | -3.2 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#354) | -0.59 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.34 (#352) | -0.71 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#360) | 0.461 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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