Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | LR -102 LIN -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -2.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -2.2 (-2.8) | 145.4 (+7.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -1.1 (-3.9) | 145.3 (+7.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -2.1 (-2.9) | 143.7 (+9.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -2.3 (-2.7) | 144.7 (+8.3) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIN 72 – 62 LR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LR 82 – 74 LIN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIN 93 – 92 LR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LR 78 – 46 LIN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | LR 82 – 73 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#309) | -4.8 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#284) | -0.75 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#292) | -1.15 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#288) | 0.480 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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