Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LIN -218 LR +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -3.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -1.8 (+8.2) | 143.7 (-9.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -1.5 (+8.5) | 143.5 (-9.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -2.3 (+7.7) | 140.8 (-6.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -2.1 (+7.9) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | LIN 79 – 74 LR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LR 82 – 74 LIN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIN 93 – 92 LR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LR 78 – 46 LIN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | LR 82 – 73 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#265) | -9.5 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#252) | -1.51 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#273) | -1.98 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#232) | 0.446 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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