Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -245 JXST +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +6 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -6.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -3.3 (+2.7) | 143.4 (+26.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -5.4 (+0.6) | 144.5 (+25.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -3.8 (+2.2) | 142.3 (+27.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -3.6 (+2.4) | 143.8 (+26.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | JXST 77 – 58 KENN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | KENN 74 – 70 JXST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | KENN 83 – 71 JXST |
| Feb 11, 2023 | KENN 74 – 71 JXST |
| Feb 10, 2023 | KENN 54 – 52 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#183) | -4.0 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#213) | -0.81 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#224) | -0.88 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#253) | 0.457 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 43.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 15.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.8% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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