We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Conference USA · Pete Mathews Coliseum · February 8, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -1.5 Home covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money JXST +102 / KENN -122
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual JXST +19 135 Won
Massey KENN -0.3 (+19.3) — —
Massey Totals — 150.7 (-15.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 54% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 54% ✓
Baseline Plus ML JXST -0.2 (+18.8) 145.8 (-10.8) 52% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENN -0.1 (+19.1) 146.2 (-11.2) 56% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -0.1 (+19.1) 143.1 (-8.1) 53% ✓
Baseline ML JXST -0.3 (+18.7) 143.7 (-8.7) 49% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 10, 2026 KENN 88 – 82 JXST
Mar 8, 2025 KENN 74 – 70 JXST
Jan 4, 2025 KENN 83 – 71 JXST
Feb 11, 2023 KENN 74 – 71 JXST
Feb 10, 2023 KENN 54 – 52 JXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JXST KENN
Overall 15-17 21-14
Conference 10-10 10-10
Home 10-7 13-3
Away 5-8 4-8
Neutral 0-2 4-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 80.0
Avg Pts Against 70.6 78.2
Massey -2.6 (#210) 0.7 (#152)
Bradley-Terry -0.38 (#208) -0.04 (#168)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.47 (#205) -0.03 (#166)
RPI 0.497 (#195) 0.501 (#187)
Shooting & Four Factors JXST KENN
FG% 42.5% 42.8%
3PT% 33.8% 32.9%
REB / G 34.6 41.5
OREB / G 10.4 14.6
AST / TO 0.94 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 49.9%
TOV% 18.2% 17.4%
ORB% 30.7% 36.9%
FT Rate 31.8% 32.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 47.6%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 15.5%
DRB% 70.6% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 27.6% 34.7%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.