What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Conference USA · VyStar Arena · January 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -1.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money KENN -120 / JXST +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +12 154 Won
Massey JXST -0.8 (+12.8)
Massey Totals 156.8 (-2.8)
Bradley-Terry 78%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML JXST -0.9 (+12.9) 151.4 (+2.6) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -0.2 (+11.8) 150.4 (+3.6) 52%
Baseline ML JXST -0.1 (+12.1) 150.2 (+3.8) 54%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -0.4 (+11.6) 151.3 (+2.7) 56%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 JXST 7758 KENN
Jan 10, 2026 KENN 8882 JXST
Mar 8, 2025 KENN 7470 JXST
Feb 11, 2023 KENN 7471 JXST
Feb 10, 2023 KENN 5452 JXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN JXST
Overall 19-14 23-13
Conference 10-8 12-6
Home 12-3 12-2
Away 5-8 8-8
Neutral 2-3 3-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 73.7 70.9
Avg Pts Against 74.0 69.3
Massey -3.0 (#217) 1.9 (#130)
Bradley-Terry 0.23 (#145) -0.28 (#194)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.07 (#166) -0.20 (#182)
RPI 0.514 (#138) 0.493 (#179)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN JXST
FG% 41.1% 46.4%
3PT% 32.0% 38.3%
REB / G 38.2 39.2
OREB / G 12.0 10.8
AST / TO 0.78 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 53.4%
TOV% 22.2% 16.4%
ORB% 33.5% 33.1%
FT Rate 32.9% 24.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 10.1%
DRB% 67.7% 74.0%
Opp FT Rate 30.0% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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