Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | KENN -120 JXST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -0.8 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -0.4 (+11.6) | 151.3 (+2.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -0.9 (+12.9) | 151.4 (+2.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -0.2 (+11.8) | 150.4 (+3.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -0.1 (+12.1) | 150.2 (+3.8) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | JXST 77 – 58 KENN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | KENN 88 – 82 JXST |
| Mar 8, 2025 | KENN 74 – 70 JXST |
| Feb 11, 2023 | KENN 74 – 71 JXST |
| Feb 10, 2023 | KENN 54 – 52 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#217) | 1.9 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#145) | -0.28 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#166) | -0.20 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#138) | 0.493 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 10.1% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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