See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Conference USA · Pete Mathews Coliseum · March 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -4.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money JXST -190 / KENN +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual KENN +4 144 Lost
Massey JXST -5.1 (-9.1) — —
Massey Totals — 144.5 (-0.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 74% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✗
Baseline Plus ML JXST -5.4 (-9.4) 139.5 (+4.5) 72% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -3.7 (-7.7) 139.5 (+4.5) 67% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -4.6 (-8.6) 140.0 (+4.0) 70% ✗
Baseline ML JXST -5.1 (-9.1) 140.4 (+3.6) 70% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 JXST 77 – 58 KENN
Jan 10, 2026 KENN 88 – 82 JXST
Jan 4, 2025 KENN 83 – 71 JXST
Feb 11, 2023 KENN 74 – 71 JXST
Feb 10, 2023 KENN 54 – 52 JXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JXST KENN
Overall 23-13 19-14
Conference 12-6 10-8
Home 12-2 12-3
Away 8-8 5-8
Neutral 3-3 2-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.9 73.7
Avg Pts Against 69.3 74.0
Massey 2.5 (#125) 0.7 (#151)
Bradley-Terry 0.95 (#97) 0.49 (#127)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.03 (#104) 0.55 (#129)
RPI 0.560 (#73) 0.528 (#125)
Shooting & Four Factors JXST KENN
FG% 43.6% 42.1%
3PT% 33.7% 29.6%
REB / G 37.4 38.5
OREB / G 10.7 11.7
AST / TO 1.02 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 48.8%
TOV% 15.9% 20.2%
ORB% 30.8% 32.8%
FT Rate 24.1% 27.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 48.0%
Opp TOV% 12.9% 15.6%
DRB% 73.2% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 30.6%

Game Analysis

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