Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | BING +205 UML -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -5.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -5.0 (-0.0) | 143.6 (-2.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -6.7 (+1.7) | 142.1 (-1.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -5.9 (+0.9) | 143.8 (-2.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -4.7 (-0.3) | 146.3 (-5.3) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UML 92 – 79 BING |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UML 79 – 53 BING |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BING 66 – 54 UML |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UML 87 – 80 BING |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UML 80 – 60 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-14 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -18.0 (#358) | -8.7 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.96 (#361) | -1.61 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.07 (#360) | -2.11 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.309 (#365) | 0.448 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 37.8% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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