Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UML -520 BING +390 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +13 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | UML -10.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -10.1 (+2.9) | 147.2 (+23.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -9.2 (+3.8) | 144.4 (+26.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -10.6 (+2.4) | 144.7 (+26.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -10.1 (+2.9) | 146.9 (+24.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | UML 73 – 68 BING |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UML 79 – 53 BING |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BING 66 – 54 UML |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UML 87 – 80 BING |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UML 80 – 60 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-14 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#315) | -17.7 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#319) | -3.58 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#316) | -4.29 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#257) | 0.329 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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