Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | BING +170 UML -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +12 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UML -2.6 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-34.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -2.2 (+14.2) | 148.0 (-28.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -3.0 (+15.0) | 145.8 (-25.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -1.9 (+13.9) | 147.2 (-27.2) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UML -2.2 (+14.2) | 148.9 (-28.9) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UML 92 – 79 BING |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UML 73 – 68 BING |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UML 79 – 53 BING |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UML 87 – 80 BING |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UML 80 – 60 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#322) | -4.2 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#267) | -0.22 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#285) | -0.16 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#256) | 0.500 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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