Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UML -400 BING +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +26 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UML -6.3 (+19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -4.8 (+21.2) | 149.8 (-17.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -4.8 (+21.2) | 146.8 (-14.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -4.3 (+21.7) | 149.7 (-17.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -3.8 (+22.2) | 150.1 (-18.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UML 92 – 79 BING |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UML 73 – 68 BING |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BING 66 – 54 UML |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UML 87 – 80 BING |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UML 80 – 60 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#256) | -8.7 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#248) | -1.02 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#221) | -1.40 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#219) | 0.466 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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