Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | BING +220 UML -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +20 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UML -7.3 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -7.4 (-12.6) | 150.6 (-10.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -7.8 (-12.2) | 148.5 (-8.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -7.3 (-12.7) | 147.8 (-7.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -7.6 (-12.4) | 149.6 (-9.6) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UML 92 – 79 BING |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UML 73 – 68 BING |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UML 79 – 53 BING |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BING 66 – 54 UML |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UML 87 – 80 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#296) | 3.2 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#268) | 1.06 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#278) | 1.31 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#251) | 0.525 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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