Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE +145 BEL -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -6.8 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -5.7 (+3.7) | 144.1 (+9.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -3.9 (+1.9) | 142.4 (+11.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -6.3 (+4.3) | 145.2 (+8.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -6.3 (+4.3) | 146.1 (+7.9) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DRKE 100 – 79 BEL |
| Feb 4, 2026 | BEL 103 – 90 DRKE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DRKE 57 – 50 BEL |
| Dec 29, 2024 | DRKE 65 – 46 BEL |
| Feb 22, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 69 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 26-6 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 16-4 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#176) | 10.1 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#231) | 1.51 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#206) | 2.62 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#216) | 0.565 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 52.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 41.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 61.4% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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