Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -500 BEL +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +19 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -10.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -9.5 (+9.5) | 140.5 (-29.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -10.3 (+8.7) | 132.5 (-21.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -9.9 (+9.1) | 140.3 (-29.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -10.2 (+8.8) | 139.7 (-28.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DRKE 100 – 79 BEL |
| Feb 4, 2026 | BEL 103 – 90 DRKE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BEL 78 – 76 DRKE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DRKE 57 – 50 BEL |
| Feb 22, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 69 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-1 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#76) | 1.9 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#7) | 1.07 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.47 (#5) | 0.72 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#19) | 0.556 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 34.1% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.