Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -1000 DRKE +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +21 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -11.4 (-32.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -10.8 (-31.8) | 150.2 (+28.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -8.4 (-29.4) | 149.6 (+29.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -11.1 (-32.1) | 149.8 (+29.2) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -10.5 (-31.5) | 151.4 (+27.6) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BEL 103 – 90 DRKE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BEL 78 – 76 DRKE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DRKE 57 – 50 BEL |
| Dec 29, 2024 | DRKE 65 – 46 BEL |
| Feb 22, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 69 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-6 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-11 |
| Away | 11-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#60) | -1.4 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#65) | -0.70 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#63) | -0.74 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#43) | 0.464 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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