Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -600 BEL +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +15 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -12.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -12.2 (+2.8) | 158.0 (-5.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -11.0 (+4.0) | 154.8 (-1.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -11.7 (+3.3) | 156.1 (-3.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -11.3 (+3.7) | 158.0 (-5.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DRKE 100 – 79 BEL |
| Feb 4, 2026 | BEL 103 – 90 DRKE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BEL 78 – 76 DRKE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DRKE 57 – 50 BEL |
| Dec 29, 2024 | DRKE 65 – 46 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-0 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#47) | 1.7 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#34) | 0.71 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#35) | 0.89 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#15) | 0.550 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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