Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -500 DRKE +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +13 | 193 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -12.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+37.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -12.3 (+0.7) | 152.9 (+40.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -10.4 (+2.6) | 150.3 (+42.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -12.0 (+1.0) | 150.9 (+42.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -11.8 (+1.2) | 153.3 (+39.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DRKE 100 – 79 BEL |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BEL 78 – 76 DRKE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DRKE 57 – 50 BEL |
| Dec 29, 2024 | DRKE 65 – 46 BEL |
| Feb 22, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 69 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-6 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-11 |
| Away | 11-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#63) | 0.3 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#58) | -0.28 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#55) | -0.23 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#49) | 0.492 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.5% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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