Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -275 BEL +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +7 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -6.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-33.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -6.0 (+1.0) | 130.2 (-23.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -6.4 (+0.6) | 128.8 (-21.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -5.8 (+1.2) | 132.6 (-25.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -5.6 (+1.4) | 133.5 (-26.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DRKE 100 – 79 BEL |
| Feb 4, 2026 | BEL 103 – 90 DRKE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BEL 78 – 76 DRKE |
| Dec 29, 2024 | DRKE 65 – 46 BEL |
| Feb 22, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 69 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-1 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#73) | 1.8 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#29) | 0.97 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#38) | 0.82 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#35) | 0.549 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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